Who is qualified as an expert? When holding opposing views, which expert is correct? The person who shouts loudest, has most followers on twitter, biggest corey? Are we to reject all future science that does not conform?
We can say that scientific consensus deemed locking down the best course of action. That is true. But i take issue with the way you have framed the decision of the swedes - A reckless gamble by a non-expert. And with the idea that one should follow the consensus even if their experience and learning leads them to another conclusion. Furthermore, your claim it has "killed 10k people" is truly absurd. And suggests you believe they would have recorded zero deaths, not a single one, had they just followed the experts.
Plus, the logic doesn't stack up. What you are saying is:
The decision made by an expert was wrong; you should always follow the experts.
Anyway, you have said your issue lies not with Sweden. Fair enough.
It is instead with people pushing the Swedish approach, failure of which, to you, was "blindingly obvious" And these "people need to be made aware" that they were wrong.
In other words, I Told You So.
Or as you have put it:
"im not saying i told you so, im saying they (the side that i backed) told you so"
The experts in Asia and elsewhere, who have dealt with SARS, and other similar pandemics, and who were also "ahead" of Europe's timeline, and who were sharing vital information.
Or, if you're short on "experts" internally, what you do is, you speak to a load of external experts and really smart people, that are the most skilled in their field, or the WHO's consensus and ask them what they would do. What you don't do is seemingly listen to one bloke (Tegnell) and let him blag you about herd immunity. It would be like us listening to Cummings about going on trips to Barnard Castle, when you have Covid, it's just not really the done thing.
It's not all the Swedes, it seems mainly steered by Tegnell, but is probably also a product of the way their people are and are governed, like I've always said, if it could work anywhere it would have been there. But it was still a reckless gamble (just like us taking 3 weeks to lock down), which was blatantly obvious when every single other European nation and Asia were advising or doing the opposite, as well as every country surrounding them. It's not a gamble I would take in his position, and not a gamble any others in his position did, and not sure if he had any evidence to back up his thoughts but it must have been weak to say the least.
No, that's your logic and your misguided interpretation of what I'm saying.
What I'm saying is, some experts have more experience than others and with crucial decisions you don't put all your eggs in one basket, espeically if everyone's saying your basket has a massive hole in it. You listen to a wide range of experts, and listen most to those that are further ahead in the timeline. They were saying, Test, Test, Test, Trace, Isolate, Wear Masks, Social Distance, avoid unnecessary contact. Funnily enough, that's exactly what Sweden is doing now, and what has started to slow their cases. Or do you think they got a second bout of "herd immunity"?
Call it "I told you so" if you like, whatever floats your boat, that's not what I'm intending, and it's more complicated.
I'm intending "the experts and most experienced told you what to do, you ignored it, it bit you in the a$$, so you abandoned it, your king slates it, your PM slates it and yet still some people are still trying to defend it (from the UK). These same people then claim it would work over here where people can't even obey the rules, never mind do what is not asked."
The fact that the King of Sweden and the Swedish PM were going bananas about it recently and pleading with the people to stay home, avoid contact and wear masks etc say's it all.
You say "side I backed", no, I didn't back any side, I didn't bet, as it wasn't my bet to make, but I did side with consensus and being proactive rather than reactive or negligent. I've just looked at the number and graphs, compared them to the raw numbers and patterns and tried to figure out why some people are tying to mislead with them, or make people aware of the raw data, as that's my strong point basically.
That decision/ bet was for people who know a lot more than me, and who have a lot more experience than me. This then turned out to be the side that pretty much every semi-respectable country backed, problem is a boat load of them backed it late, and some did it late 2-3 times (like us in the UK). The proactive nations fared best, good on them.