The bit that concerns me the most is this:
"The Metropolitan Police has asked senior civil servant Sue Gray to make "minimal reference" to events they are investigating in her report.
But the Met has asked her to leave out details of parties they are investigating for Covid rule-breaking."
They've not asked her to delay the report. They've not asked her to redact parts until their investigation is complete. They've asked her to completely leave out details full stop. I'm not sure that should be up to them should it?
So her "full" report will be published, which probably won't make any mention of Johnson. We then wait for the police investigation. The parameters of a police investigation are going to be very different from an internal inquiry. It's only going to be concerned with anything that broke the law.
Anything about misconduct, culture etc isn't going to be covered. I suspect it will be very matter of fact. A party was held on this date, it broke the rules, those in attendance have been fined. Even if Johnson gets fined (as seems likely) it's not going to embarrass him half as much as a full inquiry into working practices in number 10. He'll bluster through it, make a hollow apology and carry on.