spanishman
Well-known member
Sorry, I most have transposed the 4 & 5 and did not notice it.9529 infections, up 1542. More than yesterday but slightly lower %.
Sorry, I most have transposed the 4 & 5 and did not notice it.9529 infections, up 1542. More than yesterday but slightly lower %.
A general question. How does each country count a "coronavirus death". The French figures do not include those who die at home or care homes. Do Italy or do we have a similar policy?Has anyone plotted the curve since we were exactly neck and neck with Italy on 233 deaths on same number of days? Iirc Italy had a big spike after that whereas we seem to have been at around 60 (average) deaths a day since with no steady increase (yet), though not saying thats not coming because it probably is.
yes, one of the big flaws in the statistical analysis of all this. My mate works in Japan a lot and he says the people there simply don't believe the official statistics.A general question. How does each country count a "coronavirus death". The French figures do not include those who die at home or care homes. Do Italy or do we have a similar policy?
Atypical that is good news, relatively speaking. hopefully we will continue to stay under the Italy curve and we don't start to escalate. Can I ask where you got the historical figures from?So I've just looked and on 7th March Italy had 233 deaths, we did on 21st March.
By 12th March, Italy had 1000, we're still less than half that (but will probably pass 500 today).
Going only off 'official' figures of course.
Uk Infections will shoot up soon. We are testing more people, so far hardly anyone has been tested. Its is unfortunately deaths that will tell the accurate spread of the virus with of course a lag of about 14 days.9529 infections, up 1542. More than yesterday but slightly lower %.
I knew from memory that on the first day of spring (5 days ago), we were exactly level with Italy but two weeks behind.Atypical that is good news, relatively speaking. hopefully we will continue to stay under the Italy curve and we don't start to escalate. Can I ask where you got the historical figures from?
As said elsewhere, it looks like there is creative accounting going on with deaths as well in some countries.I knew from memory that on the first day of spring (5 days ago), we were exactly level with Italy but two weeks behind.
I then just googled 12th March for the total number of Italian deaths. How scary, though, to think that only two weeks after that date (ie today), Italy have 6,500 more on top of the 1,000 they'd had by that date.
Here's praying we somehow continue to stay below their curve.
Someone with some relative expertise recently told me that infections aren't really worth paying any attention to since all nations are testing differently, so the measure by which to 'gauge concern' should only be fatalities. Motown is right, number of infections will rise here but hopefully deaths won't follow the pattern of steepness closely.
Yes, I mean I don't think you need to be an expert to see there's something funny going on in Japan. I mean HOW could they have basically 'defeated' the virus so easily without sharing their magic formula with the rest of the world? It's almost next to China!As said elsewhere, it looks like there is creative accounting going on with deaths as well in some countries.
We're actually well below Benelux, France and Switzerland too though, closer to Scandinavia on that front.The figures do seem to suggest that we are falling behind Italy trend wise, which is a good sign and infections per 1m of the population are also considerably lower than most other European countries, our one stand out statistic is our number of deaths per 1m of the population, which as of yesterday stood at 7 which is one of the highest in Europe (excluding Spain and Italy), not sure if this is down to reporting anomalies but is cause for concern.
our one stand out statistic is our number of deaths per 1m of the population, which as of yesterday stood at 7 which is one of the highest in Europe (excluding Spain and Italy), not sure if this is down to reporting anomalies but is cause for concern.
That is very true, I must have been drinking last night when I looked (note to self, check stats before posting).We're actually well below Benelux, France and Switzerland too though, closer to Scandinavia on that front.
People on this thread seem very interested in the number of dead and conspiracy theory.
Apparently the experts are saying UK "deaths" will peak in 3 weeks time (as long as we do as we are told) - my understanding of that is the the count will go up daily until then.
We are in the sXXt like the rest of the world, is that not enough?
Whilst obviously some people know more about this than others, I don't think anyone can say *exactly* what will happen and its not a bad thing to live in the hope that things might not be as bad as predicted. As long as you're also prepared for the worst too.Not sure which experts Dave.
We have a chain of funeral homes and the advice we have is that peak deaths will be mid to end May.
If you go on each country’s coronavirus wiki page. It has a table with all the cases/deaths.Atypical that is good news, relatively speaking. hopefully we will continue to stay under the Italy curve and we don't start to escalate. Can I ask where you got the historical figures from?