The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 30,597 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 26,628
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.6% to 31,772 per day, following 4.5% decrease yesterday (and 7th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 18.4% lower than one week ago (from 14.3% lower yesterday) and 5.9% lower than two weeks ago (from 2.4% lower yesterday and 15.1% higher 7 days ago)
• 201 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 185 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 1.0% to 139.0 per day, following 2.4% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.4% higher than one week ago (from 1.6% higher yesterday) and 31.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 41.4% higher yesterday and 25.4% higher 7 days ago)
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 16 September, 7,339,009 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 26,911 (38,013 on corresponding day last week).

158 deaths were reported today (167 on corresponding day last week).

157,669 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 3 September).

48,503,181 have had a first dose vaccination. 23,003 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,229,777 have had a second dose. 59,404 second dose vaccinations today.

* DATA FOR SCOTLAND NOT INCLUDED *
 
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Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 26,911 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 30,597
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 5.0% to 30,186 per day, following 3.6% decrease yesterday (and 8th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 22.4% lower than one week ago (from 18.4% lower yesterday) and 10.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 5.9% lower yesterday and 14.2% higher 7 days ago)
• 158 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 201 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 0.9% to 137.7 per day, following 1.0% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.7% higher than one week ago (from 4.4% higher yesterday) and 24.1% higher than two weeks ago (from 31.7% higher yesterday and 19.6% higher 7 days ago)

As Bear has highlighted, the above update does not include cases data for Scotland. They haven't included the same warning about the deaths data, so I'm presuming that does include the whole UK.
 

Andy_W

Well-known member
As Bear has highlighted, the above update does not include cases data for Scotland. They haven't included the same warning about the deaths data, so I'm presuming that does include the whole UK.
Separating Englands numbers out, from the rest of the UK, according to the dashboard that's the lowest Thursday since 1st of July, when we were on our way up the July Euro's mountain, and also the lowest 7 day average since the same time.

Good numbers considering we're more open than we've ever been.

Scotland's cases are a higher rate, but declining even faster than England, so this is all very welcome.

If we can sustain this for another week, then hopefully there should be some confidence that we're on a major continuous decline.
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 17 September, 7,371,301 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 32,651 (37,622 on corresponding day last week).

178 deaths were reported today (147 on corresponding day last week).

157,669 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 3 September).

48,528,901 have had a first dose vaccination. 23,833 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,298,076 have had a second dose. 63,999 second dose vaccinations today.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 32,651 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 26,911
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 2.4% to 29,476 per day, following 5.0% decrease yesterday (and 9th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 23.0% lower than one week ago (from 22.4% lower yesterday) and 14.1% lower than two weeks ago (from 10.5% lower yesterday and 12.0% higher 7 days ago)
• 178 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 158 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 3.2% to 142.1 per day, following 0.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 5.1% higher than one week ago (from 4.7% higher yesterday) and 24.7% higher than two weeks ago (from 24.1% higher yesterday and 25.3% higher 7 days ago)
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
This week we passed the rather grim milestone of 2,000 deaths from Covid per million population in the UK. That's reported deaths within 28 days of a positive test by the way. The more accurate measure, using causes of death on the death certificate, passed that number back in mid-February.

What this means is that Covid has claimed the lives of more than 0.2% of the entire UK population. That's not the Case Fatality Rate, that's its mortality rate on the entire population. If you use the more accurate death certificate reports, Covid has actually killed 0.24% of the UK population.

To put this into perpsective, the 1918/19 Spanish Flu epidemic is estimated to have killed 228,000 people in the UK. At that time, the population was around 44.3m. This means that Spanish Flu resulted in the deaths of approx 0.5% of the UK population.

So those who claim that Covid is not as significant as the Spanish Flu epidemic are correct in a statistical sense. It is worth noting, however, that the impact of the Covid epidemic in the UK has been at a level which is nearly half as bad as the worst public health crisis in the past several hundred years.
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 18 September, 7,400,739 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 30,144 (29,547 on corresponding day last week).

164 deaths were reported today (156 on corresponding day last week).

157,669 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 3 September).

48,548,506 have had a first dose vaccination. 19,605 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,357,108 have had a second dose. 59,032 second dose vaccinations today.
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 19 September, 7,429,746 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 29,612 (29,173 on corresponding day last week).

56 deaths were reported today (56 on corresponding day last week).

157,669 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 3 September).

48,573,881 have had a first dose vaccination. 25,375 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,428,209 have had a second dose. 71,101 second dose vaccinations today.
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 20 September, 7,465,448 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 36,100 (30,825 on corresponding day last week).

49 deaths were reported today (61 on corresponding day last week).

157,669 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 3 September).

48,593,019 have had a first dose vaccination. 14,586 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,466,121 have had a second dose. 35,131 second dose vaccinations today.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 36,100 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 29,612
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.5% to 30,378 per day, following 0.2% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 12.0% lower than one week ago (from 17.7% lower yesterday) and 19.4% lower than two weeks ago (from 16.8% lower yesterday and 2.8% higher 7 days ago)
• 49 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 56 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 1.2% to 141.6 per day, following 0% change yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 0.4% higher than one week ago (from 3.3% higher yesterday) and 25.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 26.6% higher yesterday and 22.6% higher 7 days ago)
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 21 September, 7,496,543 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 31,564 (26,628 on corresponding day last week).

203 deaths were reported today (185 on corresponding day last week).

158,664 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 10 September).

48,617,703 have had a first dose vaccination. 24,684 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,512,572 have had a second dose. 46,451 second dose vaccinations today.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 31,564 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 36,100
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 2.3% to 31,083 per day, following 2.5% increase yesterday (and 4th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 5.7% lower than one week ago (from 12.0% lower yesterday) and 19.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.4% lower yesterday and 2.4% lower 7 days ago)
• 203 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 49 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 1.8% to 144.1 per day, following 1.2% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 4.8% higher than one week ago (from 0.4% higher yesterday) and 6.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 25.6% higher yesterday and 41.4% higher 7 days ago)

We have now experienced more than 1,000 reported deaths in the latest 7-day rolling period. The last time that happened was 15th March.
 

bear66

Well-known member
As of 9am on 22 September, 7,530,103 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 34,460 (30,597 on corresponding day last week).

166 deaths were reported today (201 on corresponding day last week).

158,664 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 10 September).

48,644,692 have had a first dose vaccination. 26,989 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 44,556,005 have had a second dose. 43,433 second dose vaccinations today.
 

Billy Horner

Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:

• 34,460 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 31,564
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 1.8% to 31,635 per day, following 2.3% increase yesterday (and 5th consecutive daily increase)
• 7-day average for new cases is 0.4% lower than one week ago (from 5.7% lower yesterday) and 18.7% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.2% lower yesterday and 5.9% lower 7 days ago)
• 166 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 203 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 3.5% to 139.1 per day, following 1.8% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 0.1% higher than one week ago (from 4.8% higher yesterday) and 4.5% higher than two weeks ago (from 6.4% higher yesterday and 31.7% higher 7 days ago)
 

Andy_W

Well-known member
This week we passed the rather grim milestone of 2,000 deaths from Covid per million population in the UK. That's reported deaths within 28 days of a positive test by the way. The more accurate measure, using causes of death on the death certificate, passed that number back in mid-February.

What this means is that Covid has claimed the lives of more than 0.2% of the entire UK population. That's not the Case Fatality Rate, that's its mortality rate on the entire population. If you use the more accurate death certificate reports, Covid has actually killed 0.24% of the UK population.

To put this into perpsective, the 1918/19 Spanish Flu epidemic is estimated to have killed 228,000 people in the UK. At that time, the population was around 44.3m. This means that Spanish Flu resulted in the deaths of approx 0.5% of the UK population.

So those who claim that Covid is not as significant as the Spanish Flu epidemic are correct in a statistical sense. It is worth noting, however, that the impact of the Covid epidemic in the UK has been at a level which is nearly half as bad as the worst public health crisis in the past several hundred years.
That's grim :(

Comparing it to the Spanish Flu, the thing is medical science, knowledge and controls are probably at least twice as good as back then too, so Covid back then could have easily doubled or done worse damage than Spanish Flu. We've not been overwhelmed in the UK either, and that percentage would have gone through the roof had we been.

Just to think, some clowns like Yeadon and his flock of morons were saying the IFR of the Virus was only 0.2% last March when we were locking down, and wanted us to open up, crazy.

We've hit 0.24% with only 7.5m confirmed cases (assume 15m total cases), we could easily 4-5x the 0.24% for the full population.....giving an IFR of 1-1.2% (for non overwhelmed healthcare), just like all the experts were saying it was, over a year ago. I'm glad they know what they're on about, we would have been absolutely screwed without them.
 

Andy_W

Well-known member
No prizes for guessing where the case levelling/ increase is coming from:


Without those case increases in kids we would be well on our way down now, and had we been allowed to vaccinate them earlier (by choice), then a lot of this could have been avoided. I can understand why there are loads of teachers and parents going absolutely wild on Twitter, as they're being practically forced to naturally expose/infect themselves/ the kids.

The makeup of the current cases should help lower the currently high death numbers though (after a lag), as previous weeks we had a high proportion of over 90's, 80's, 70's etc making up the cases, and now it's moving much younger.
 
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