Andy - what the chances of Forest making a profit in two Championship seasons with a spend thrift chairman? I would honestly put it close to zero.
Yeah not likely, over three seasons one of them was in the prem though, that's profitable if you don't blow all the cash or put all your eggs in one basket. Not saying Forest did that mind, as they then went and spent £190m, then another £50m this year. They probably won't be able to spend a penny this year and will still be in trouble with FFP again I think. They could be in trouble next year unless they sell Murillo and Gibbs White, who they should both get good money for. They spent £35m on a crap DM though, so that's gonna hurt.
Then comparing them to some others:
Luton scraped through in the play offs, only spent net £25m in the prem and got about 10 players for that, most of which will probably stick around in the champo, which is probably the most low risk way to do it. Probably still going down though, but they will likely be in the mix in the champo next year, and have cash to spend.
Burnley spent net £107m on about 30 players, none of which were expecting to play in the champo next year, and will finish below Luton, they're screwed if the players stay as they won't be able to afford the wages. What is mre likely to happen is the best players leave on a pittence, elaving them with high wage dross.
Sheff Utd spent net £36m, and the £40m on Archer and Hamer isn't value for a champo side, especially not on the wages they will be on, I think they're probably in trouble, and I don't think Wilder will be able to help them much.
So, out of those four, the only really sustainable one is Luton, and they're probably going to be in the best position of all next year, probably even including Forest who will likely survive.
We're up net 11m from last year, and starting to show signs of being a decent squad, we're getting ourselves fairly well positioned without being at risk to FFP, it's looking good for us I think. We were + 17m year before and -11m year before that, so over 3 years + £17m on transfers and our squad is probably better than it's ever been in for owned players. We probably had a better side back end of last year, but that was heavily reliant on loans, which is not the case now.