Well at least in theory, this is a great time to start or expand a business. Cheap loans, lots of good people in the labour market, business premises empty everywhere, people running into trouble importing from Europe, no point in saving money in deposit accounts.
The disappointing thing from my perspective is that to so many people in England, opening a business means opening a shop. Retail is on its knees and there's a limit to the number of coffee shops a town needs. Where are the IT entrepreneurs in England? Edinburgh is chock full of them.
There's a massive amount of risk too, there's possibly a mini domestic property bubble about to burst, along with the repercussions of covid which will take years to fully recover from (although I think a large % will recover quick), companies starting to struggle with brexit, which will get worse and worse before it gets better (if it gets better, very big if).
Losing 0.5% in a savings account for a few years or making 10% investing is a much lesser risk of going to zero, than someone starting a business at the toughest trading conditions the uk will see for the next 5-10 years. It's tough enough starting a business anyway, never mind in a bit of a crazy time. For most who cannot see gaps in the market, they would probably be better off riding it out and see what happens for the next few years, rather than jumping in the deep end.
I totally understand what you're saying mind, and some sectors will be fine and some will grow, but there are many more that are in for a really tough time, especially anything to do with import/ export. The import/ export problems will drive up costs of everything to the consumer also so anything relying on the public spending could be in for trouble. This could effect everything, as its all linked.
Business premises may be cheap compared to two years ago, but if you add 10 new businesses, 100 go bust and you have 100 extra businesses with their staff working from home (as it's now easily seen as viable), then demand for premises will only go down. Buying any sort of premises would be crazy in my opinion, but a short term rent would be good, with the possibility of getting a reduction year on year.
Setting up peoples home offices, IT and anything related to that might be something to go into. A lot of people think they're going to be going back to massive offices, and I just don't see that, certainly not to the same level. Businesses will now have realised they can have people working from home, and a lot of people will really prefer it.
I'm thinking more about scaling down, selling up, changing industry (or moving to a different area of my industry) than expanding. It even
seems to me like there's less risk in stocks, then trying to fight the UK economy for the next 10 years.