If form over the last 10 games continues

[Left_peg]

Team	Current Points	PPG last 10	games remaining	projected end points
Fulham	64	2	15	94
Bournemouth	58	1.6	16	83.6
Boro	52	2.2	14	82.8
Sheff United	50	2.1	15	81.5
Huddersfield	53	2	13	79
QPR	53	1.8	14	78.2
Luton	48	2	15	78
Blackburn	54	1.5	14	75
Coventry	50	1.6	14	72.4
Forest	48	1.7	14	71.8
Blackpool	42	1.5	14	63
Preston	46	1.4	12	62.8
MIllwall	43	1.3	15	62.5
Stoke	44	1	15	59
Bristol City	40	1.3	12	55.6
Cardiff	36	1.4	14	55.6
Swansea	38	1.1	15	54.5
West Brom	46	0.5	13	52.5
Birmingham	37	1	12	49
Hull	34	1.1	12	47.2
Derby	21	1.7	14	44.8
Reading	29	0.7	13	38.1
Barnsley	20	0.7	14	29.8
Peterbrough	21	0.5	15	28.5

 

[Left_peg]

I enjoy the 'Mini League' thread. Here's an alternative statistical view. Prior to the Bristol City game the projection had us coming 2nd by 2 points, now we're 3rd by a point. Good indicator of which games could be key - Sheff United game looks huge, as does Bournemouth.

 

[Pak_Doo_Ik]

I dont like this one, we miss out on automatic by a point and Derby are safe.

 

[indeedido]

I like both bits of analysis - BoroMart's and this - as they help contextualise really well.
Sadly I think the defeat at Brizzle ended any hopes of 2nd for a number of reasons.
I'd still be happy with a Play Off chance given where we were.

 

[coluka]

I will be chuffed with 3rd or 4th spot. Forget second it is statistically unlikely barring a minor miracle.

To do even that, we need Jones to keep fit, to not pick up unnecessary yellow cards like yesterday as a starter for ten and to get Bola playing at his best too.

 

[changingman]

This is a good website - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/championship/

Joint fourth with Blackburn, same GD!

 

[dooderooni]

I still fancy us for automatic and if not then we've nothing to fear in the palyoffs.

 

[wilkos_perm]

I dont like this one, we miss out on automatic by a point and Derby are safe.

Reading have actually picked up though last couple of games and Derby are now 8 points off safety.

 

[Left_peg]

I dont like this one, we miss out on automatic by a point and Derby are safe.

I did it 2 games ago and Derby were safe a lot more comfortably so the last results have affected it quite a lot. One loss for us/Bournemouth/Sheff does skew it quite a lot

 

[Jonny Ingbar]

Interesting.

It will be tough to continue such great form, but if we do, and if Bournemouth continue to pick up points at the same rate, then second spot will be achievable.

I do think it's beyond us and it's the play offs, but in this division you just never know, one or two games could make all the difference.

 

[Nobby_Barnes]

I did it 2 games ago and Derby were safe a lot more comfortably so the last results have affected it quite a lot. One loss for us/Bournemouth/Sheff does skew it quite a lot

Please provide upto date statistics or its irrelevant....
Thanks

 

[Pak_Doo_Ik]

I will be chuffed with 3rd or 4th spot. Forget second it is statistically unlikely barring a minor miracle.

To do even that, we need Jones to keep fit, to not pick up unnecessary yellow cards like yesterday as a starter for ten and to get Bola playing at his best too.

I tend to agree but also think Bournemouth having those two games called off could work against them. I know they’ll have all their superstars back but they could find they have been caught on points and have the pressure of playing the games in hand (or maybe that is just my wishful thinking)

 

[Left_peg]

Please provide upto date statistics or its irrelevant....
Thanks

The table was done after last night’s games and tonight’s are still ongoing so it’s as up to date as possible.

Maybe when you invented this character you should have imagined him sticking in at school a bit more.

You’re welcome

 

[Left_peg]

Team	Current Points	PPG last 10	games remaining	projected end points
Fulham	67	2.2	14	97.8
Bournemouth	58	1.6	16	83.6
Boro	52	2.2	14	82.8
Sheff United	53	2.1	14	82.4
Luton	51	2.2	14	81.8
Huddersfield	56	2	12	80
QPR	56	1.8	13	79.4
Coventry	50	1.6	14	72.4
Forest	48	1.7	14	71.8
Blackburn	54	1.2	13	69.6
MIllwall	46	1.6	14	68.4
Preston	46	1.4	12	62.8
Blackpool	42	1.2	13	57.6
Stoke	44	0.9	14	56.6
Bristol City	40	1.3	12	55.6
Swansea	38	1.1	15	54.5
Cardiff	36	1.4	13	54.2
West Brom	46	0.5	13	52.5
Birmingham	37	1	12	49
Hull	34	1.1	12	47.2
Derby	21	1.4	13	39.2
Reading	29	0.7	13	38.1
Barnsley	20	0.7	14	29.8
Peterbrough	21	0.2	14	23.8

 

[Subbuteo_171]

Team	Current Points	PPG last 10	games remaining	projected end points
Fulham	67	2.2	14	97.8
Bournemouth	58	1.6	16	83.6
Boro	52	2.2	14	82.8
Sheff United	53	2.1	14	82.4
Luton	51	2.2	14	81.8
Huddersfield	56	2	12	80
QPR	56	1.8	13	79.4
Coventry	50	1.6	14	72.4
Forest	48	1.7	14	71.8
Blackburn	54	1.2	13	69.6
MIllwall	46	1.6	14	68.4
Preston	46	1.4	12	62.8
Blackpool	42	1.2	13	57.6
Stoke	44	0.9	14	56.6
Bristol City	40	1.3	12	55.6
Swansea	38	1.1	15	54.5
Cardiff	36	1.4	13	54.2
West Brom	46	0.5	13	52.5
Birmingham	37	1	12	49
Hull	34	1.1	12	47.2
Derby	21	1.4	13	39.2
Reading	29	0.7	13	38.1
Barnsley	20	0.7	14	29.8
Peterbrough	21	0.2	14	23.8

There’s no such thing as fractional points therefore this is worthless.

 

[Left_peg]

Despite QPR winning late on they now drop to 7th and Luton leapfrog them into projected 5th, pushing Huddersfield into 6th spot.

Squeaky bum time for Derby now as they are only projected to finish 1 point above Reading.

 

[Left_peg]

There’s no such thing as fractional points therefore this is worthless.

Feel free to round up or down, or ignore it. I'm not really ****ed either way

 

[Subbuteo_171]

Feel free to round up or down, or ignore it. I'm not really ****ed either way

I’ll ignore it then as utterly worthless.

 

[Left_peg]

I’ll ignore it then as utterly worthless.

As is your prerogative

 

[Nobby_Barnes]

Hopeless, thankfully Nobby's Notebook will be back shartly