Next PM is a 2 horse race, but who will win ?

[Lottowyn]

Bookermakers have Starmer on 5-2 with Sunak 3-1.

Will Sir Keir get in or will the local lad pip him ?

 

[penry1]

As long as it is very close a sml majority seems to work better. Nowt stupid gets voted through. I think starmer will pip it.

 

[jam69]

The tory party is riddled with closet racists, although many in the party will be relieved his not a Muslim I can see his heritage being a issue with many of the blue rinse brigade .
Did he even go the the "right school" ?

 

[WoodallServices]

It will be Rishi Sunak because he’ll get it when Boris gets turfed out.
Who will win the next election....hopefully Starmer.

 

[FabioPorkpie]

There are some awful rumours doing the rounds that Johnson is toast and Patel will be taking over.
I’m guessing if Johnson goes, they’ll want another patsy in place to take the brexit fallout heat before putting Sunak in place?

 

[FartingGnome]

For some reason I thought Mikey Gove was deputy leader but maybe he was just being referred to as Johnson's No 2, which is probably the nicest thing anybody's ever said about him.

 

[WindyNook]

Starmer has no chance of being next PM unless parliament votes to end fixed term. Boris will not last the next 4 years and the Tories will not do a Turkeys voting for Christmas. They would lose most of their red wall seats.

 

[coluka]

Clearly, a lot will depend on what happens with Covid-19, Brexit and life in 2023/24.
Additionally, the Tories have a habit of occasionally going left field and not necessarily electing the obvious. You would think Sunak is the obvious man, but the party is as split now as it was under May and Cameron. Plenty of time for Sunak to upset his party and his supporters with whatever he does on clawing money back from us in taxation in the meantime.

I hope Starmer edges it with a workable majority, long way to go. Labour and the left need to get behind him and not cause waves and let him forensically pick apart the Government lies and deceit. Parliament has lost control at present which works in Johnson/Governments favour. I do think some of the more reasonable in the Tory party are recognising this and are wrestling Ministers from the back benches. At present we have a mini dictatorship rather than parliamentary control and sovereignty.

 

[FatCat]

its a long way off, i'd bet that its neither of the two mentioned in the OP.

 

[Ingleby_Flash]

The tory party is riddled with closet racists, although many in the party will be relieved his not a Muslim I can see his heritage being a issue with many of the blue rinse brigade .
Did he even go the the "right school" ?

Winchester, Oxford and Stanford, ticks a few of the boxes school wise.

 

[WindyNook]

its a long way off, i'd bet that its neither of the two mentioned in the OP.

Quite likely. A week is a long time in politics. 4 years is a lot of weeks. It's possible they will be saying what pandemic what brexit?

 

[Randy]

Rishi is the next PM. Rumoured to be in before the end of January.
Labour will win the next election.

 

[SuperStu]

I hope Starmer edges it with a workable majority, long way to go.

Labour need to gain 121 seats to have a majority of 1. TBH it's a bit like hoping Boro have a reasonable chance of winning the Premier League in 2024.

 

[Caretaker1]

Would anyone want to inherit this mess ?

 

[Mendieta14]

Labour have so many seats to make-up I doubt they can do it in one swoop.. so, I wouldn't be sad to see a Labour-Lib Dem coalition.

 

[Wiseman_Vaughn]

As mentioned above, Labour would need a monumental shift of mood and opinion to gain even a slim majority. The key issues may still be Brexit and immigration so I won't hold out too much hope.

 

[Maccarone]

Impossible to predict, the world in engulfed with coronavirus, we have no idea for how long.
Still 4 years of the current term left, anything can happen and properly will.
We are in a mess, no doubts about that but to try and guess the next leader of the Country is pure speculation and guesswork.
Whereas we have Neil Warnock so we are OK.

 

[SuperStu]

so, I wouldn't be sad to see a Labour-Lib Dem coalition.

I mean really that's no more likely than a Labour majority. It's the difference between Labour needing to plan for 121 gains and 110 gains.

If Labour are to have any chance of a coalition they'll have to start with an electoral pact and they'll need to work with everybody they possibly can. SNP, Lib Dems, Plaid, Green. Probably as well as trying to encourage a similar pact between SDLP and Sinn Fein in all the NI seats.

 

[Wiseman_Vaughn]

Starmer has no chance of being next PM unless parliament votes to end fixed term. Boris will not last the next 4 years and the Tories will not do a Turkeys voting for Christmas. They would lose most of their red wall seats.

Yep. Lots of rumours flying around about BJ being replaced at some point in the future. I also read that he didn't particularly like the job. What is clear is that he is no leader and not very good.

 

[Heine_Otto]

The way people choose to vote has changed massively in the last few years. Staunch Labour or Tory voters are becoming a thing of the past. Therefore a huge swing towards Labour is more possible now than it would have been at any time in the past. But the Tories love their three word slogans - and the average joe on the streets falls for it.