Today's headline analysis:
• 20,089 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 22,195
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 5.6% to 31,843 per day, following 6.1% decrease yesterday (and 16th consecutive daily decrease)
• 7-day average for new cases is 26.4% lower than one week ago (from 25.0% lower yesterday) and 42.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 41.7% lower yesterday and 22.7% lower 7 days ago)
• 1,631 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 592 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 0.2% to 1,242 per day, following 0.1% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 5.1% higher than one week ago (from 9.8% higher yesterday) and 26.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 33.7% higher yesterday and 76.1% higher 7 days ago)
In each of the past four days, the 7-day average for new deaths has changed by less than one per cent (up or down). This would suggest a plateauing of numbers and, hopefully, the prelude to a fall. That said, based on previous experience, I'm not anticipating a rapid decline by any means.