Why won't they? They're polling better now than at any point in the last 7 years (which is where the chart below stops)
What do you mean by win? A majority, or more seats than the Tories?
Labour might not get an overall majority (I still think they will), but either way they will get more seats than the Tories, and get the Tories out, which is a win to me (and should be to Labour voters). That would also be one hell of a recovery, more than most could have expected, so I'm not sure why you would highlight Starmer, seemingly as a problem.
Labour were 163 seats behind at the last GE, now they're predicted to have a lead of 63, which is a change of 226, there hasn't been a change like that since Blair won in 97, which was the last time Labour won power back.
It's all about trends, and what is in the news and what is coming over the horizon. The last time the Tories had some sort of resurgence was when the vaccine was rolled out (which should have been expected). Loads of the anti-Starmer lot were crying about the polls back then, but it was a fake pump, and was never going to last, like I kept on saying. Post #54 on the following link is a good example, which ended up being at the Tory peak may I add
https://fmttmboro.com/index.php?thr...s-polling-for-labour.17231/page-3#post-384671
Tory's will probably get a bit of a dead cat bounce with a new leader, for a short time, but they're still a dead cat. There's nothing on the horizon to suggest that over the next 2-2.5 years we're going to be in any sort of boom, and loads of indications we're in for a rough 2.5 years, so I don't see the Tories polling any better than they are now, come the GE.
Providing Labour/ Starmer don't shoot themselves in the foot (which I don't think they will do), they should get more seats, and have more chance of a coalition if needed. There's more bad news coming the Tory's way, than there is Labours.
All polls, trends and election news for the the United Kingdom, Scotland and London — Conservatives, Labour, Lib Dems, Brexit Party, SNP, Greens, Scottish independence referendum and Scotland elect…
www.politico.eu
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