I'm worried about the East Midlands, we've been top for ages and now we're getting to the business end of this thing I think the pesky northern pair of Yorkshire and the North East could relegate us to third.
I would kind of disagree. Cases will always then be followed by hospitalisations, then by deaths so cases are important. And they WILL go up from today. The hope is that the vaccines stop the rise in cases being as deadly as the last waveBig drop in deaths and hospitalisations, greater in %age terms than the drop in cases.
This is where people need to focus now as we will more than likely see some levelling off/small increases in cases with the kids going back to school and the amount of testing that is been done weekly.
That's saying every case = hospital no?I would kind of disagree. Cases will always then be followed by hospitalisations, then by deaths so cases are important. And they WILL go up from today. The hope is that the vaccines stop the rise in cases being as deadly as the last wave
No, I mean the would trend the similarly. Say cases go up by 1000, I would expect, hospitalisation to go up by about 10 a couple of weeks later and then deaths to go up by, say, 1 a couple of weeks after that. I know it's way more complicated but more cases will lead to more hospitalisations will lead to more deaths.That's saying every case = hospital no?
Vaccine?No, I mean the would trend the similarly. Say cases go up by 1000, I would expect, hospitalisation to go up by about 10 a couple of weeks later and then deaths to go up by, say, 1 a couple of weeks after that. I know it's way more complicated but more cases will lead to more hospitalisations will lead to more deaths.
I was going to suggest that he takes a look at this thread and this table in particular.
Some of those reductions are quite astonishing.
The vaccination programme 'should' stop the hospitalisations/deaths following the same curve as any increases in cases.I would kind of disagree. Cases will always then be followed by hospitalisations, then by deaths so cases are important. And they WILL go up from today. The hope is that the vaccines stop the rise in cases being as deadly as the last wave