xG tells the same story, and places a more accurate value on what each shot should is “worth”.
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Look at the last 6 matches box, and click “show xG”, can even look at individual games etc.
I'd say looking at this, and having watched some of these games, our results should look closer to this.
Boro - West Brom - DRAW (Watmore misses that glaring chance but West Brom also created opportunities to win)
QPR - Boro - DRAW (by sounds of it we battered them second half and were unlucky not to get that equaliser)
Boro - Sheff Utd - BORO WIN (we gift them a goal through Giles and then miss lots of late chances to win it)
Stoke - Boro - BORO WIN (fairly obvious one, best performance this season, foul for one goal and shocking defending for the other)
Reading - Boro - READING WIN (don't let the stats fool you too much, we were awful and only had a lot of possession/ shots because we conceded early and were then constantly chasing the game)
Boro - Swansea - BORO WIN (Swansea pressed a lot towards the end but apparently were pretty toothless)
Watford - Boro - DRAW (played well throughout, created chances, and we were so unlucky with the late sucker punch)
Some would argue we could even put Reading down as a draw given their goal should have been disallowed for offside. If it had then the game had 0-0 written all over it as both sides looked poor. I still think Reading could have just edged it given how poor we were that day.
But based on those what if moments we could be sat on double the points that we actually are and with a chance to move 3rd with a win tonight.
I still have faith that once it clicks we'll go on a good run (like we did last December). Let's just hope it starts with a win tonight.