Borotommo
Well-known member
Ventilator bed occupation down to 336 on 19th April. 385 on the same day last week (12th)
The 9am figures not disclosed yet?
- Thread starter bear66
- Start date
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 508 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 482 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.6% to 191.4 per day, following 15.1% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 31.3% lower than one week ago (from 3.3% lower yesterday) and 12.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 26.3% higher yesterday and 82.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 508 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 482 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 9.6% to 191.4 per day, following 15.1% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 31.3% lower than one week ago (from 3.3% lower yesterday) and 12.2% higher than two weeks ago (from 26.3% higher yesterday and 82.3% higher 7 days ago)
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Yes. The double bank holiday weekend is going to mess things up for a few days yet.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 646 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 508 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 22.1% to 233.7 per day, following 9.6% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 17.5% lower than one week ago (from 31.3% lower yesterday) and 24.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.2% higher yesterday and 80.9% higher 7 days ago)
• 646 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 508 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 22.1% to 233.7 per day, following 9.6% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 17.5% lower than one week ago (from 31.3% lower yesterday) and 24.0% higher than two weeks ago (from 12.2% higher yesterday and 80.9% higher 7 days ago)
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 284 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 682 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 17.0% to 279.4 per day, following 24.8% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 19.5% higher than one week ago (from 15.7% lower yesterday) and 32.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 26.8% higher yesterday and 46.7% higher 7 days ago)
Today's numbers are being compared to a nil return last week (Good Friday), which partly explains the further jump in the 7-day average.
• 284 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 682 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 17.0% to 279.4 per day, following 24.8% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 19.5% higher than one week ago (from 15.7% lower yesterday) and 32.6% higher than two weeks ago (from 26.8% higher yesterday and 46.7% higher 7 days ago)
Today's numbers are being compared to a nil return last week (Good Friday), which partly explains the further jump in the 7-day average.
Andy_W
Well-known member
Hard to read into and trust the raw numbers at the minute, other than hospitalisations which are coming down and the 7 day av for deaths coming down too, both good lagging indicators.
A good indicator of where we're currently at (and going) can be seen in the test positivity rate though, but this can only be shown for England or it's regions/ local authorities. Jan 22 was the Omicron BA1 phase and March was the BA2 phase seemingly picking up whatever slack was left.
Not sure if we will get to the <1% positivity rate of Summer 21, with Omicron being so transmissible (esp BA2), and then combining this with waning and possible reinfections. Not going above 280 deaths a day over winter was a good result though, especially when flu deaths were exceptionally low.
I don't even give Covid a second thought now when out and about, although just been away for a few days and Europe isn't there yet, a lot of people still wearing crappy cloth masks in the street!
A good indicator of where we're currently at (and going) can be seen in the test positivity rate though, but this can only be shown for England or it's regions/ local authorities. Jan 22 was the Omicron BA1 phase and March was the BA2 phase seemingly picking up whatever slack was left.
Not sure if we will get to the <1% positivity rate of Summer 21, with Omicron being so transmissible (esp BA2), and then combining this with waning and possible reinfections. Not going above 280 deaths a day over winter was a good result though, especially when flu deaths were exceptionally low.
I don't even give Covid a second thought now when out and about, although just been away for a few days and Europe isn't there yet, a lot of people still wearing crappy cloth masks in the street!
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 341 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 284 on Friday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 17.4% to 328.1 per day, following 17.0% increase on Friday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 78.2% higher than one week ago (from 19.5% higher on Friday) and 42.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 32.6% higher on Friday and 16.2% higher 7 days ago)
Today's numbers are again being compared to a nil return from 7 days ago (Easter Monday), which explains the further jump in the 7-day average. The published number today is broadly similar to that from 14 days ago, which is a better comparison.
Expect the average to fall significantly over the next couple of days, as we will be comparing to the Easter bank holiday backlog numbers.
• 341 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 284 on Friday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 17.4% to 328.1 per day, following 17.0% increase on Friday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 78.2% higher than one week ago (from 19.5% higher on Friday) and 42.4% higher than two weeks ago (from 32.6% higher on Friday and 16.2% higher 7 days ago)
Today's numbers are again being compared to a nil return from 7 days ago (Easter Monday), which explains the further jump in the 7-day average. The published number today is broadly similar to that from 14 days ago, which is a better comparison.
Expect the average to fall significantly over the next couple of days, as we will be comparing to the Easter bank holiday backlog numbers.
Laughing
Well-known member
I know you are speaking relatively, but 2 k deaths a week doesn't seem that good to me.
I am not sure that the public would buy into those kind of numbers on a yearly basis.
Randy
Well-known member
Imagine the public outcry if the government made weekly cancer deaths announcements instead of charities working their arses off to fundraise for a cure and making the public aware of the risks.....
MolteniArcore
Well-known member
I'm not sure I understand if you are shocked by 2k a week deaths or not there Randy!
Chris_Boro
Well-known member
2835 cancer deaths (all cancers named on death certificates) per week on average in 2020 in England and Wales.
To find that information was just as easy as Covid stats.
Though you're comparing something that is highly contagious with something that isn't to make a point I'm sure made sense in your own head.
Randy
Well-known member
Not comparing diseases. The subject of Laughing's point was public knowledge of covid deaths each week now that all restrictions have ended. I imagine you used Google to find the figures yes? Or did you see them on the breakfast news, lunchtime news and 10pm news?
Try again.
Chris_Boro
Well-known member
Yes you did, that was literally what you said.
I'm pretty sure the public knows that many many people die to cancer without the news having to report it, in fact I would imagine people would think its more than what I quoted from the ONS, which is where I get the Covid stats from, not the news.
If cancer becomes contagious than I would expect it to be world news for a very long time.
Your point is self defeating.
Randy
Well-known member
Laughing said the public wouldn't buy into 2000 covid related deaths a week. They probably won't and would ask for action.
The same public would also ask for action to combat cancer if figures for those deaths were reported on the news every week. Instead of us having to rely on charities to fight the battle they would rightly demand that government does more to finance the fight.
The same public would also ask for action to combat cancer if figures for those deaths were reported on the news every week. Instead of us having to rely on charities to fight the battle they would rightly demand that government does more to finance the fight.
Laughing
Well-known member
This is very true, however I suspect that people are more accepting of cancer deaths because its a harder disease to eradicate. People will expect covid to be more manageable than 30k deaths over winter.
Unravel_Morrison
Well-known member
I remember reading a road traffic police officer saying that people would probably drive more carefully if the emergency services didn't do such a good job of clearing up the mess of a serious accident and a much bigger deterrent than publishing statistics.
As long as it seems that the NHS is coping and we don't get coverage of ICU wards like under the first stages of this in 2020 then I think the public will probably largely accept it as a price for being able to live a 'normal' life.
Billy Horner
Well-known member
Today's headline analysis:
• 451 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 341 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 1.3% to 323.7 per day, following 17.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 52.8% higher than one week ago (from 78.2% higher yesterday) and 47.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 42.4% higher yesterday and 26.3% higher 7 days ago)
• 451 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 341 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 1.3% to 323.7 per day, following 17.4% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 52.8% higher than one week ago (from 78.2% higher yesterday) and 47.8% higher than two weeks ago (from 42.4% higher yesterday and 26.3% higher 7 days ago)
parmoboy
Well-known member
This is probably a long shot but done anyone know if there's a way to fake a lateral flow test result?
I've been doing them for work but had misunderstood and hadn't realised we had to register the result, I'd thought it was only for PCR tests. Now my manager wants me to send him the notifications of my recent test results, which of course I haven't got.
I've been doing them for work but had misunderstood and hadn't realised we had to register the result, I'd thought it was only for PCR tests. Now my manager wants me to send him the notifications of my recent test results, which of course I haven't got.
dan_ashcroft
Well-known member
It sounds like it would be better to hold your hands up here as it was a genuine misunderstanding. Your boss my then want to play with figures to cover their side, but I'd give the boss the responsibility. You'll only dig a deeper hole.