I fear the US moving a second carrier group to the region is not to deter the Palestinian navy
The end?
- Thread starter borolad259
- Start date
ChrisChefYork
Active member
Very worrying.
So, what is being insinuated is that Iran had encouraged Hamas to launch their crime against humanity to provoke Israel. The understanding being that the retaliation would be predictably brutal against all Palestinians and not just Hamas. The expected brutal Israeli response would then be used to excuse an Iranian intervention on humanitarian grounds. Iran is hoping that other arab states would also join the war such as Lebanon and Syria. Behind the scenes, Russia is hoping for this situation to snowball into a full war to divert attention and, more importantly, western arms away from the war in Ukraine.
The US positions two warships in the Med to deter anybody else from getting involved while Israel razes Gaza to the ground.
Is this what others have read into things?
The US positions two warships in the Med to deter anybody else from getting involved while Israel razes Gaza to the ground.
Is this what others have read into things?
Our man thinks the US may be planning to give Iran a spanking 1, as a means to attack Russia by proxy, taking out their weapons and drone manufacturing, destroying nuclear capability etc and 2, to punish them for their support, alongside Russia, for the Hamas attack.
The Ruthsayer
Well-known member
Yup.
At the risk of depressing folks ....
"I will do a more general update on Ukraine if I get some time today.
It has been a busy day here.
First of all.
Johan, The Swedish soldier that died was a sniper with the International Legion and not one of my boys.
I have though met him, and he was a true hero who volunteered to fight, and he was a former Jaeger commando soldier, so top tier.
May he rest in peace!
Finland has basically closed down the outwards passage from Russia in answer to Russia cutting their cables.
Earlier today the Russians tried to send out a ship, but it was stopped under threat of Finland opening fire.
Thankfully the Russian captain knew that when Finns say they are gonna blow your ship out of the water, they mean it, so he turned about.
The Swedish Air Force is now flying out Swedes from Israel and The State of Palestine (Sweden has officially recognized Palestine), they are flown out on Military transport aircraft from Jordan and Israel, and the planes are escorted by Gripens.
We are trying to get as many out as possible before the war breaks out.
It is now quite clear that there will be one.
I can't write about the US and Israeli preparations, but I can talk about what Iran and Russia are up to a bit.
During the day Iran has flown in soldiers and equipment into the Russian Latakia Air Base in Syria on an airbridge using both Iranian and Russian troop transport aircraft (IL-76 mostly).
This is an incredible rampup by the Iranians, and it seems like they are preparing to attack Israel via land.
Iran and Syria lack a landborder, but Iran has asked for using a landroad via Turkey, and they are massing soldiers and equipment on the Erbil Road via Iraqi Kurdistan.
The Regular Kurdistan Army and YPG are non to happy about the idea of letting Iran through, weirdly enough they are highly West oriented with a significant portion (10 percent) being dual Swedish/Iraqi citizens.
Erbil even has a Swedish café named Café Söderköping.
This means that they have asked for Swedish/Finnish/US help with reinforcements to enforce their border towards Iran.
The Iraqi Army is useless and almost exclusively on the side of Iran nowadays, politics in Iraq is a mess as soon as you get outside of Kurdistan.
There's always a 150 men strong detachment from Sweden in Erbil that are training the Kurdistan Army, and it would be easy to further supply them with soldiers, and the US also seems interested in pitching in.
Decission will be made tomorrow morning.
If we send soldiers it will be a Mountain Jaeger Corps since they are trained in mountain warfare.
The mountains make it reasonable prospect to actually plug up the road indefinitely.
Problem is Turkey.
They might actually let Iran go through Turkey.
Turkey is truly double-dipping on this one, so it is not unreasonable that they would do it, or even get involved themselves.
Even if they only let them through it would be the end of Turkey as a NATO-state, missed by nobody.
In regards of Turkey.
It is now clear that they used a Humanitaria organisation run by the Turkish Security Services, and with full support of Erdögan supplied weapon using the organisations ships to Hamas.
Personal view
I support playing whackamole with the Hamas, but I oppose going into Gaza milli-vanilly due to the high civilian casualty rate. I also do not condone Israel throwing out 1 million Palestinians from Gaza.
Both Hamas and the Israeli Government are committing a lot of atrocities that truly are war crimes now.
I love how Ukraine is going above and beyond to keep to the high road when they fight, and how they struggle to keep civilians safe.
And if Ukraine can do that in their immense pain and sadness, it casts a dark shadow on what is going on now in Israel and Gaza.
Me and Tank Girl talked a lot about this yesterday under the stars, she is horrified at what they are doing there.
We concluded that both of us would resign if we ever was asked to do the things that are done there.
The good news is that Jordan has stated that it will stick it out as a neutral country, same with Egypt.
But, the war will when it starts include Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Russia, the US, and potentially the UK, Iraqi Kurdistan and Sweden.
More countries would probably be dragged in within a few weeks.
A sidenote
The US will be hampered a bit by lacking the Chief of Staff, Marine Corps Chief, and the Air Force Commander, this due to the usual US political bickering.
Heck, it is even unclear if they can arrange funding for this war."
"I will do a more general update on Ukraine if I get some time today.
It has been a busy day here.
First of all.
Johan, The Swedish soldier that died was a sniper with the International Legion and not one of my boys.
I have though met him, and he was a true hero who volunteered to fight, and he was a former Jaeger commando soldier, so top tier.
May he rest in peace!
Finland has basically closed down the outwards passage from Russia in answer to Russia cutting their cables.
Earlier today the Russians tried to send out a ship, but it was stopped under threat of Finland opening fire.
Thankfully the Russian captain knew that when Finns say they are gonna blow your ship out of the water, they mean it, so he turned about.
The Swedish Air Force is now flying out Swedes from Israel and The State of Palestine (Sweden has officially recognized Palestine), they are flown out on Military transport aircraft from Jordan and Israel, and the planes are escorted by Gripens.
We are trying to get as many out as possible before the war breaks out.
It is now quite clear that there will be one.
I can't write about the US and Israeli preparations, but I can talk about what Iran and Russia are up to a bit.
During the day Iran has flown in soldiers and equipment into the Russian Latakia Air Base in Syria on an airbridge using both Iranian and Russian troop transport aircraft (IL-76 mostly).
This is an incredible rampup by the Iranians, and it seems like they are preparing to attack Israel via land.
Iran and Syria lack a landborder, but Iran has asked for using a landroad via Turkey, and they are massing soldiers and equipment on the Erbil Road via Iraqi Kurdistan.
The Regular Kurdistan Army and YPG are non to happy about the idea of letting Iran through, weirdly enough they are highly West oriented with a significant portion (10 percent) being dual Swedish/Iraqi citizens.
Erbil even has a Swedish café named Café Söderköping.
This means that they have asked for Swedish/Finnish/US help with reinforcements to enforce their border towards Iran.
The Iraqi Army is useless and almost exclusively on the side of Iran nowadays, politics in Iraq is a mess as soon as you get outside of Kurdistan.
There's always a 150 men strong detachment from Sweden in Erbil that are training the Kurdistan Army, and it would be easy to further supply them with soldiers, and the US also seems interested in pitching in.
Decission will be made tomorrow morning.
If we send soldiers it will be a Mountain Jaeger Corps since they are trained in mountain warfare.
The mountains make it reasonable prospect to actually plug up the road indefinitely.
Problem is Turkey.
They might actually let Iran go through Turkey.
Turkey is truly double-dipping on this one, so it is not unreasonable that they would do it, or even get involved themselves.
Even if they only let them through it would be the end of Turkey as a NATO-state, missed by nobody.
In regards of Turkey.
It is now clear that they used a Humanitaria organisation run by the Turkish Security Services, and with full support of Erdögan supplied weapon using the organisations ships to Hamas.
Personal view
I support playing whackamole with the Hamas, but I oppose going into Gaza milli-vanilly due to the high civilian casualty rate. I also do not condone Israel throwing out 1 million Palestinians from Gaza.
Both Hamas and the Israeli Government are committing a lot of atrocities that truly are war crimes now.
I love how Ukraine is going above and beyond to keep to the high road when they fight, and how they struggle to keep civilians safe.
And if Ukraine can do that in their immense pain and sadness, it casts a dark shadow on what is going on now in Israel and Gaza.
Me and Tank Girl talked a lot about this yesterday under the stars, she is horrified at what they are doing there.
We concluded that both of us would resign if we ever was asked to do the things that are done there.
The good news is that Jordan has stated that it will stick it out as a neutral country, same with Egypt.
But, the war will when it starts include Lebanon, Syria, Iran, Russia, the US, and potentially the UK, Iraqi Kurdistan and Sweden.
More countries would probably be dragged in within a few weeks.
A sidenote
The US will be hampered a bit by lacking the Chief of Staff, Marine Corps Chief, and the Air Force Commander, this due to the usual US political bickering.
Heck, it is even unclear if they can arrange funding for this war."
Littlejimmy
Well-known member
I wasn't going to drink tonight, but I think I might now.
I know what you mean.
Borotommo
Well-known member
Hate this world
swordtrombonefish
Well-known member
The 'world' is fine and would be a paradise if not for the human virus upon it
I hesitate to post this, as it's distressing to understand man's inhumanity to man and all that. But I will. The ukrainians suffered so much in those early months last year and things seemed so hopeless for them. Personally I feel for these Russian conscripts. The sooner the evil b***ds that are sending them to their doom are defeated and removed from power, the better.
"It has been a hectic day to say the least.
Moscow
Several warehouse used for transshipping towards the front near the railroads was hit during the night and today.
There was a mixture of "spontaneous fires" and drone hits.
The Muscovians was not impressed by driving around the city inside big clouds of black stinky smoke.
The air defence did not work.
Sochi
The local powerplant was hit by several longrange drones and Sochi was cast into gloom as the power went away, it is still dark 24 hours later since a couple of switch-yards and sub-stations was also hit.
Pretty much the only thing that is lit in the area is the airport and Putins mansion.
The air defence did not work.
Kursk & Bilhorod
28 drones hit various targets, about 18 hit military targets, the others hit power-infrastrucutre, casting both Oblasts into at least partial darkness.
The thermal powerplant in Bilhorod was also hit, so heating is not operating.
About 200 artillery fire missions was performed up to a depth of 35km into both Bilhorod and Kursk.
And the Free Russia Brigade stepped forward exactly 800 meters, they send a photo daily with the GPS-coordinates to prove that they are following instructions.
Even the Wagnerites are happy about not having to kill civilians, and seem contant with performing some real soldiering Ukraine style.
In other words, eat prodigious amounts of Borstj and then **** up Russian army, and due to the lack of the latter they are mostly capturing Russian police officers and sending them back into Ukraine as "war prisoners".
This time the Russian army answered hard by claiming to have shot down exactly 28 drones.
Since the air defence did not work Russia shot took the drones down by hitting them with powerplants and other assorted things that is regarded as Russian air defence these days.
Russia did though send an SU-25 over to investigate and perhaps even bomb a bit.
The other Russian air defence battery did though work and the SU-25 was gently kissed in the **** with an S-300 missile.
So, Free Russia used a Russian captured S-300 to shoot down an Unfree Russian SU-25.
Another interesting thing, for some reason the captured Russian artillery given to the Free Russians seem to work well and hit things.
The Free Russians has used it today to fire upon the Bilhorod FSB Office Building with remarkable accuracy.
It did though get a new barrel that the Ukrainians had on stock.
At the going rate they will be in Moscow in 600 days or so.
I find this idea funny for some reason.
Luhansk
Fighting here is hard.
Ukraine has not lost ground, but the Russian attacks here are relentless in meatwave after meatwave.
Zyrzkiy is getting two Brigades from Kherson and two new ones from Lviv area.
Ukraine not being pushed back is more due to the high resolve of the soldiers and good planning by Zyrzkyi.
It has been close a few times, and nipples have formed and been stomped out in the last 48 hours.
Russian losses have though been grim, the losses yesterday and today have mostly been up here since there is somewhat of a lull now in Avdivka.
We are gonna send a tank brigade from the 2nd TAG up there tomorrow to give him some punch.
They are mostly armed with T-64s, but used as tank snipers they are good enough to stomp on nipples.
Bakhmut
Here Ukraine spent the day jolly eating borstj and shelling Russian positions from their new high ground.
This is obviously in preparation before further advance down in lower ground.
Avdivka
Here we have countered a few lesser meatwaves, pushed the Russians fully back to their original positions.
We have also continued blowing up bridges and logistics hubs.
I forgot to say that we had a bit of luck as we took out a main road bridge.
Unbeknownst to use the Russians decided to send over a tank and 2 BTRs at the exact time that our GMLRS missiles slammed into the bridge.
Said tank blew up further injuring the bridge.
Part of the bridge then fell down on the railroad track below the bridge, complete with the burning tank.
So, one target attempted, 3 different things achieved in one stroke.
Since we have 100ds of GLSDBS inbound (they are arriving in the morning to us) we decided to go hard with the GMLRS that we had saved up.
So, almost all bridges, transshipment points, warehouses, stockpiles, etcetera, that is part of the Russian logistics suffered from a loss of functionability of rather permanent nature.
This in turn put a huge stopper into the Russian process of resupplying and reinforcing their offensive.
It is quite bad for them, they have a lot of repairwork to do if they wish to continue to lose 1-2 brigades per day.
In a sense of it we was a bit too effective for our own good... we after all want them to continue attacking so we can get rid of them.
Russian influencers have taken to internet to beg for donations of body bags, and money to purchase even plastic bags.
The Russians have completely run out of body bags in Donetsk Oblast.
There's also dozens of buses running shuttle traffic with wounded back into Russia.
Many Russians are stunned at the losses, and many are protesting about what is happening, especially since most of the big war-bloggers in Russia is stating that the offensive never had a chance since they attacked 1:1 into Ukraines most well defended fortress line.
For once I agree with the Russian propagandist bloggers, they never had a chance in hell.
Personal remark: During my officer training I always wondered how it would be to run a big battle.
I imagined that I would one day perhaps run a battalion, or even a brigade, against a professional army of similar size.
I never imagined I would run a very professional army corps against a flood of lemmings.
What I mean, the enemy was not professional, and behaved like lemmings do when they go on their blind trecks running out of cliffsides.
It was also never a fair fight, we held all the cards, and could run the battle playing to our strengths.
Professional soldiers do not believe in fair fights, but the Russians sort of took the fun out of winning a big battle by being so incredibly bad at what they did.
They only gained ground in the beginning by shear body weight and count.
As soon as we got underway that only advantage melted away under 1000ds of 40mm shells tearing them apart as they came stumbling forth.
I almost feel sorry for them.
Vuhledarish
In Marinka Tank Girl has locked things down and is slowly degrading the Russian opposition, they have now stopped doing their inevitable counter-attacks and seem somewhat content with just defending themselves.
Same is also true for over at Stepne.
Here she is using 4 tanks as snipers for military vehicles and trucks/lorries, so nothing is getting past on that road.
This is causing a lot of straing on the Russian logistics, especially since she is doing the same with that spagetti junction near Donetsk City.
There are now huge piles of blown up vehicles at both places, but still the Russians try to run the gauntlet driving like madmen.
I saw a video of a truck that had clearly removed the regulator that was hit at 150km per hour.
I did not know that a big semi-truck could fly.
Tokmak Axis
Russia performed an all out conter-offensive to clear Kopani, finally grasping the danger that they are in.
This pushed Oleksandr back about 800 meters towards Robotyne before he could counter-attack.
He is now 250 meters further away in this direction, so 750 meters away.
Over at Novoprokopivka and Verbove there are also very hard fighting with relentless counter-attacks and reinforcements.
No progress was made in any direction.
Conclusion
It is the last big push from Russia that we are seeing now.
The result is so horrendous that it will at least limit what they can do during the winter offensive season, if not far longer.
Yes, they are getting mobiks arriving in January, but they do not come with any new equipment.
A few of them is getting ancient armour, but even those are far between for this run of 250 000 mobiks and conscripts.
At least 250 000 is the target, but there are signs that this is hard to filll up, so perhaps it will be as little as 150 000 that finally show up.
There are lots of video-clips of parents, siblings and respective others showing up with refuseniks to prisons wishing them good luck and sticking cash to the guards for "preferential treatment" of their loved ones.
Even crappy Russian gulags are preferable to going to the frontline, by now it is a death sentence for those that come.
Nobody is getting out alive or with all limbs remaining.
The real war is over now.
Now it is just an endless killing of Russian mobiks and conscripts, there are no longer any professional soldiers left alive.
The real war is now over.
Now it is just unlimited humiliation of Russia until someone finally realises that it is time to go home.
In 48 hours, it will get radically worse as the GLSDBS start to rain down over even the remote corners that the Russians could somewhat hide in.
In a month another big batch of tanks will arrive.
In a few months the airplanes will start to arrive en masse.
It will only get worse for them, harder and deeper.
And still the lemmings come running, without hope, without survival."
"It has been a hectic day to say the least.
Moscow
Several warehouse used for transshipping towards the front near the railroads was hit during the night and today.
There was a mixture of "spontaneous fires" and drone hits.
The Muscovians was not impressed by driving around the city inside big clouds of black stinky smoke.
The air defence did not work.
Sochi
The local powerplant was hit by several longrange drones and Sochi was cast into gloom as the power went away, it is still dark 24 hours later since a couple of switch-yards and sub-stations was also hit.
Pretty much the only thing that is lit in the area is the airport and Putins mansion.
The air defence did not work.
Kursk & Bilhorod
28 drones hit various targets, about 18 hit military targets, the others hit power-infrastrucutre, casting both Oblasts into at least partial darkness.
The thermal powerplant in Bilhorod was also hit, so heating is not operating.
About 200 artillery fire missions was performed up to a depth of 35km into both Bilhorod and Kursk.
And the Free Russia Brigade stepped forward exactly 800 meters, they send a photo daily with the GPS-coordinates to prove that they are following instructions.
Even the Wagnerites are happy about not having to kill civilians, and seem contant with performing some real soldiering Ukraine style.
In other words, eat prodigious amounts of Borstj and then **** up Russian army, and due to the lack of the latter they are mostly capturing Russian police officers and sending them back into Ukraine as "war prisoners".
This time the Russian army answered hard by claiming to have shot down exactly 28 drones.
Since the air defence did not work Russia shot took the drones down by hitting them with powerplants and other assorted things that is regarded as Russian air defence these days.
Russia did though send an SU-25 over to investigate and perhaps even bomb a bit.
The other Russian air defence battery did though work and the SU-25 was gently kissed in the **** with an S-300 missile.
So, Free Russia used a Russian captured S-300 to shoot down an Unfree Russian SU-25.
Another interesting thing, for some reason the captured Russian artillery given to the Free Russians seem to work well and hit things.
The Free Russians has used it today to fire upon the Bilhorod FSB Office Building with remarkable accuracy.
It did though get a new barrel that the Ukrainians had on stock.
At the going rate they will be in Moscow in 600 days or so.
I find this idea funny for some reason.
Luhansk
Fighting here is hard.
Ukraine has not lost ground, but the Russian attacks here are relentless in meatwave after meatwave.
Zyrzkiy is getting two Brigades from Kherson and two new ones from Lviv area.
Ukraine not being pushed back is more due to the high resolve of the soldiers and good planning by Zyrzkyi.
It has been close a few times, and nipples have formed and been stomped out in the last 48 hours.
Russian losses have though been grim, the losses yesterday and today have mostly been up here since there is somewhat of a lull now in Avdivka.
We are gonna send a tank brigade from the 2nd TAG up there tomorrow to give him some punch.
They are mostly armed with T-64s, but used as tank snipers they are good enough to stomp on nipples.
Bakhmut
Here Ukraine spent the day jolly eating borstj and shelling Russian positions from their new high ground.
This is obviously in preparation before further advance down in lower ground.
Avdivka
Here we have countered a few lesser meatwaves, pushed the Russians fully back to their original positions.
We have also continued blowing up bridges and logistics hubs.
I forgot to say that we had a bit of luck as we took out a main road bridge.
Unbeknownst to use the Russians decided to send over a tank and 2 BTRs at the exact time that our GMLRS missiles slammed into the bridge.
Said tank blew up further injuring the bridge.
Part of the bridge then fell down on the railroad track below the bridge, complete with the burning tank.
So, one target attempted, 3 different things achieved in one stroke.
Since we have 100ds of GLSDBS inbound (they are arriving in the morning to us) we decided to go hard with the GMLRS that we had saved up.
So, almost all bridges, transshipment points, warehouses, stockpiles, etcetera, that is part of the Russian logistics suffered from a loss of functionability of rather permanent nature.
This in turn put a huge stopper into the Russian process of resupplying and reinforcing their offensive.
It is quite bad for them, they have a lot of repairwork to do if they wish to continue to lose 1-2 brigades per day.
In a sense of it we was a bit too effective for our own good... we after all want them to continue attacking so we can get rid of them.
Russian influencers have taken to internet to beg for donations of body bags, and money to purchase even plastic bags.
The Russians have completely run out of body bags in Donetsk Oblast.
There's also dozens of buses running shuttle traffic with wounded back into Russia.
Many Russians are stunned at the losses, and many are protesting about what is happening, especially since most of the big war-bloggers in Russia is stating that the offensive never had a chance since they attacked 1:1 into Ukraines most well defended fortress line.
For once I agree with the Russian propagandist bloggers, they never had a chance in hell.
Personal remark: During my officer training I always wondered how it would be to run a big battle.
I imagined that I would one day perhaps run a battalion, or even a brigade, against a professional army of similar size.
I never imagined I would run a very professional army corps against a flood of lemmings.
What I mean, the enemy was not professional, and behaved like lemmings do when they go on their blind trecks running out of cliffsides.
It was also never a fair fight, we held all the cards, and could run the battle playing to our strengths.
Professional soldiers do not believe in fair fights, but the Russians sort of took the fun out of winning a big battle by being so incredibly bad at what they did.
They only gained ground in the beginning by shear body weight and count.
As soon as we got underway that only advantage melted away under 1000ds of 40mm shells tearing them apart as they came stumbling forth.
I almost feel sorry for them.
Vuhledarish
In Marinka Tank Girl has locked things down and is slowly degrading the Russian opposition, they have now stopped doing their inevitable counter-attacks and seem somewhat content with just defending themselves.
Same is also true for over at Stepne.
Here she is using 4 tanks as snipers for military vehicles and trucks/lorries, so nothing is getting past on that road.
This is causing a lot of straing on the Russian logistics, especially since she is doing the same with that spagetti junction near Donetsk City.
There are now huge piles of blown up vehicles at both places, but still the Russians try to run the gauntlet driving like madmen.
I saw a video of a truck that had clearly removed the regulator that was hit at 150km per hour.
I did not know that a big semi-truck could fly.
Tokmak Axis
Russia performed an all out conter-offensive to clear Kopani, finally grasping the danger that they are in.
This pushed Oleksandr back about 800 meters towards Robotyne before he could counter-attack.
He is now 250 meters further away in this direction, so 750 meters away.
Over at Novoprokopivka and Verbove there are also very hard fighting with relentless counter-attacks and reinforcements.
No progress was made in any direction.
Conclusion
It is the last big push from Russia that we are seeing now.
The result is so horrendous that it will at least limit what they can do during the winter offensive season, if not far longer.
Yes, they are getting mobiks arriving in January, but they do not come with any new equipment.
A few of them is getting ancient armour, but even those are far between for this run of 250 000 mobiks and conscripts.
At least 250 000 is the target, but there are signs that this is hard to filll up, so perhaps it will be as little as 150 000 that finally show up.
There are lots of video-clips of parents, siblings and respective others showing up with refuseniks to prisons wishing them good luck and sticking cash to the guards for "preferential treatment" of their loved ones.
Even crappy Russian gulags are preferable to going to the frontline, by now it is a death sentence for those that come.
Nobody is getting out alive or with all limbs remaining.
The real war is over now.
Now it is just an endless killing of Russian mobiks and conscripts, there are no longer any professional soldiers left alive.
The real war is now over.
Now it is just unlimited humiliation of Russia until someone finally realises that it is time to go home.
In 48 hours, it will get radically worse as the GLSDBS start to rain down over even the remote corners that the Russians could somewhat hide in.
In a month another big batch of tanks will arrive.
In a few months the airplanes will start to arrive en masse.
It will only get worse for them, harder and deeper.
And still the lemmings come running, without hope, without survival."
Druss_The_Legend
Well-known member
It's A scary time to be alive right now.
Since COVID the world seems to be a scary place to live, I remember at the time COVID outbreak thinking 'this can't be happening, these things don't happen now these are things from the past'.
Right now we are a couple of years into a major conflict in Europe, a large portion of the middle east is as tipping point and parts of Africa are looking like they could be on the verge of war.
I don't like using the phrase but it really does feel like WW3 is A possiblity and is only a few wrong moves away from happening.
Since COVID the world seems to be a scary place to live, I remember at the time COVID outbreak thinking 'this can't be happening, these things don't happen now these are things from the past'.
Right now we are a couple of years into a major conflict in Europe, a large portion of the middle east is as tipping point and parts of Africa are looking like they could be on the verge of war.
I don't like using the phrase but it really does feel like WW3 is A possiblity and is only a few wrong moves away from happening.
Has your mate been on the Brännvin.
It’s all getting a bit ‘end of times’
It's worth remembering I guess that he is under a fair amount of stress, and these missives to friends are something of a release valve .... venting. So they will inevitably reflect his current mood.
Decent_Left
Well-known member
My defonition of “Bad News” is the polar opposite of Vatnik millibloggers.
Sneaky swedes pushing buttons?
Sneaky swedes pushing buttons?
Last edited:
TeessideCleveland
Well-known member
Hopefully the dictator's army's utter failure here will lead to the liberation of Donetsk City in the not too distant future
Lefty
Well-known member
I can't see Ukraine being able to kick them out of larger cities as long as Russia or pro Russia Ukrainians are determined to defend. It will simply be too costly in personnel. Russian forces will need to withdraw 'voluntarily' ie the war continues to go so badly that it is politically untenable at home either due to embarrassing losses of say Bakhmut, Southern Kherson and Crimea, the scale of the losses becoming known within the Russian civilian population, economic hardship finally starts having some severe effects.
TeessideCleveland
Well-known member
Hopefully that doesn't mean it becomes mainly a frozen conflict - with the land bridge to Crimea and most of Luhansk and quite a bit of Donetsk remaining occupied
Lefty
Well-known member
I think there are only two ways to win, a change at the top in Russia, forced by military failures and economic pressure, or effectively long sieges. I can see Zapp and Southern Kherson being liberated, then Crimea being cut off and eventually taken. The occupied DPR/LPR Donbas parts I just don't know. If the separatists and Russian forces are determined to fight tenaciously in these big urban areas and have enough civilian backing then it may be unwinnable for Ukraine there. I have no idea what the people of those regions now feel about Russia/independence.
