"These things even themselves out"

Sheriff_John_Bunnell_ret said:
Honestly. People moaning about an offside goal when the only trophy we ever won, we did so thanks to a refereeing error.
When we qualified for our first ever season in Europe due to the ref not spotting that papa bouba diops shot had crossed the line.
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I might have been whooshed, but what are you on about?
 
Hopefully the next time Coventry score a borderline winner in the last minute of an FA Cup Semi Final, it evens itself out then.
 
Last nights result has no bearing on our season really but how will Ipswich Leicester Southampton view last nights **** show by the “official's”.
 
davidmills said:
Last nights result has no bearing on our season really but how will Ipswich Leicester Southampton view last nights **** show by the “official's”.
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This sums it up for me. I'm not personally affected by the "grave injustices" of decisions, even against Boro. There are frankly more important things to worry about in life.

That said, as an observer of modern football, these are businesses whose future profitability (in many cases directly linked to their ability to compete and in turn become more profitable) are being decided on decisions which are patently incorrect. Therefore I can absolutely understand, and empathise with, the clamour to ensure a greater majority of these decisions are correct.
 
festa5 said:
It can even itself. But there's just as much chance it won't.

Us getting a bad decision against us in one game has no bearing whatsoever on the chances of one going in our favour in subsequent games.

Anyone who thinks otherwise doesn't understand how probability works.
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Your first sentence displays a misunderstanding of how probability works. It is not just as likely that it won’t even out in the long run. Unless there is genuine bias, random mistakes will tend more closely to approximate to a 50/50 split over time. Just as the proportion of heads and tails will for an unbiased coin. If you allow a long enough period of time, and the mistakes are genuinely random, it is not equally likely but vanishingly unlikely that they will fail to approach even.

Still better to get them right in the first place, though
 
FishofContemplation said:
Your first sentence displays a misunderstanding of how probability works. It is not just as likely that it won’t even out in the long run. Unless there is genuine bias, random mistakes will tend more closely to approximate to a 50/50 split over time. Just as the proportion of heads and tails will for an unbiased coin. If you allow a long enough period of time, and the mistakes are genuinely random, it is not equally likely but vanishingly unlikely that they will fail to approach even.

Still better to get them right in the first place, though
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I know how probability works thanks. You're not wrong about the maths but you're talking about averages over a period of time.

Which is different from the point I was making.

My first sentence was a bit lazy, fair enough. Almost edited it because I suspected someone would pull me up on it. I know this board too well 😂
 
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