Ok, I wasn't going to post any more from my friend, but this morning's update is interesting/bonkers ... so, with the caveat that I am condensing and paraphrasing a long document from someone else who has access to intelligence reports. They are his thoughts, not mine ... so take em or leave em. Here goes.
Although some fighting will continue, the war as it was is effectively over. The russian forces are being chased north or are retreating to dig in South East. Ukraine mechanised division is now preparing to head that way to re-take lost territory. The Russian chain of command has gone. Government in Russia is in a state of collapse. 75,000 govt employees ... from all ranks, bottom to top... have left their jobs/the country. Open dissent is now being broadcast unchallenged in Russian media. Apparently Russian state TV is not only now using the word "war" but are openly acknowledging that it has been lost. There is now widespread "concern" that the whole mis-adventure has resulted in the potential breakdown of the "old Russia". (An aside from me, this all sounds a bit worrying).
The military ... the old school marshals, are in honest dialogue with the west (not Nato or the US, but other independent countries like Finland). Their concern is that they will not only lose Donbass and the Crimea, but that the Ukraine may get excited and venture further. They are looking for guarantees against this. Basically they are beginning negotiations for surrender/end of the conflict. This is the military acting independently of Moscow. The losses of the last few days have been staggering and "too much to bear" for the old military heads.
Now the mental stuff. Putin is residing under Moscow between bunker D6 (?) and a command bunker at Vnkovo(?). More or less alone, save his daughter (who is his physician .... he doesn't trust anyone else) and, weirdly, some Aeroflot cabin crew. He did have his grandkids with him (he spent days watching cartoons while his military were being routed) but they have been sent to Belarus now. Apparently he trashed his office several days ago and tore ligaments in the process, so is now on heavy painkillers (great, a mad president on opoids), which have in turn made him constipated, so he is on the prune juice.
How does western intelligence know all of this? Good question, but apparently it is quite funny (black humour I am guessing). I am assured it will come out in time, when the info is no longer as sensitive, but the inference was that he is his own mole, effectively.
I accept that some, or all of the above may be total ballocks but, if you think it is, just ignore it. For my part, my friend has been a reliable and intelligent source for a long time. Prone to hyperbole at times, but usually that is for comic effect.