You're asking for a set date?Might be able to answer if we knew what data went into the modelling.
Also I would expect more clarity on the decline than "sometime in Autumn".
"Modelling seen by ministers"
You're asking for a set date?
"Modelling seen by ministers"
I think that explains it
It could also be that more people are testing positive for the second time, so aren't being represented in the figures in this wave.I think it may be possible that there is a 'natural' fall off in cases based on significant levels of immunity in the population, i.e. the virus reaches a certain level but then has nowhere left to go (or certainly to grow).
We now appear to be experiencing the second decline in numbers from a peak of just under 50,000 cases per day (the last time being during July). There is no obvious explanation for this (as there wasn't in the summer either), as it seems too early for the school half term to be impacting the numbers, so it may be the case that once the virus hits that sort of daily level, it runs out of enough non-immune people to infect and starts to wane.
Not saying this is definitely the case, as it's probably too early to say, but an interesting hypothesis.
Why are you wanting it deleted Randy?@fmttmadmin could you arrange for this thread to be deleted please Rob?
What are you laughing at?Isn’t plan b just working from home and masks indoors? With hundreds dying every day what possible reason could anyone argue against that? Probably the least intrusive and least disruptive measures we could have that could help avoid further restrictions