The 9am figures not disclosed yet?

bear66 said:
As of 9am on 19 April, 4,390,783 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 2,963 (3,568 on corresponding day last week).

4 deaths were reported today (13 on corresponding day last week)

150,419 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 2 April)

32,932,448 have had a first dose vaccination. 83,225 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 10,152,039 have had a second dose. 221,193 second dose vaccinations today.
Click to expand...
One of which was reported by NHS England.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1384127623891099650
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,963 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 1,882
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 3.4% to 2,469 per day, following 0.9% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 10.0% lower than one week ago (from 2.8% lower yesterday) and 29.3% lower than two weeks ago (from 32.1% lower yesterday and 47.8% lower 7 days ago)
• 4 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 10 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 4.9% to 25 per day, following 1.7% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 26.9% lower than one week ago (from 27.1% lower yesterday) and 29.6% lower than two weeks ago (from 25.0% lower yesterday and 46.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 20 April, 4,393,307 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 2,524 (2,472 on corresponding day last week).

33 deaths were reported today (23 on corresponding day last week)

150,841 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 April)

33,032,120 have had a first dose vaccination. 99,672 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 10,425,790 have had a second dose. 273,251 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,524 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,963
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 0.3% to 2,476 per day, following 3.4% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 10.2% lower than one week ago (from 10.0% lower yesterday) and 24.0% lower than two weeks ago (from 29.3% lower yesterday and 45.6% lower 7 days ago)
• 33 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, up from 4 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test increases by 5.7% to 26 per day, following 4.9% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 23.7% lower than one week ago (from 26.9% lower yesterday) and 13.2% lower than two weeks ago (from 29.6% lower yesterday and 37.6% lower 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 21 April, 4,395,703 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 2,396 (2,491 on corresponding day last week).

22 deaths were reported today (38 on corresponding day last week)

150,841 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 April)

33,139,742 have had a first dose vaccination. 107,622 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 10,775,870 have had a second dose. 350,027 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,396 new cases reported in 24-hour period, down from yesterday's 2,524
• 7-day average for new cases decreases by 0.5% to 2,463 per day, following 0.3% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 9.4% lower than one week ago (from 10.2% lower yesterday) and 19.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 24.0% lower yesterday and 43.9% lower 7 days ago)
• 22 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 33 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 8.7% to 24 per day, following 5.7% increase yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 28.2% lower than one week ago (from 23.7% lower yesterday) and 21.5% lower than two weeks ago (from 13.2% lower yesterday and 29.3% lower 7 days ago)
 
As of 9am on 22 April, 4,398,431 people have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK.

Positive cases were 2,729 (2,672 on corresponding day last week).

18 deaths were reported today (30 on corresponding day last week)

150,841 deaths with Covid-19 on the death certificate (up to 9 April)

33,257,651 have had a first dose vaccination. 117,909 first dose vaccinations yesterday. 11,192,601 have had a second dose. 416,784 second dose vaccinations today.
 
Today's headline analysis:

• 2,729 new cases reported in 24-hour period, up from yesterday's 2,396
• 7-day average for new cases increases by 0.3% to 2,471 per day, following 0.5% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new cases is 7.3% lower than one week ago (from 9.4% lower yesterday) and 13.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 19.8% lower yesterday and 41.6% lower 7 days ago)
• 18 new deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported in 24-hour period, down from 22 yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test decreases by 7.1% to 22 per day, following 8.7% decrease yesterday
• 7-day average for new deaths within 28 days of a positive test is 26.1% lower than one week ago (from 28.2% lower yesterday) and 27.8% lower than two weeks ago (from 21.5% lower yesterday and 33.9% lower 7 days ago)
 
It's looking more and more like with the amount of testing it will be very hard to get the 7 day much lower than 2000 a day.

It's fair to say that right now of the 2471 cases on the 7 day probably 2000+ are false positives (probably higher).

This is as good as it will get using our current measures I believe.
 
BoroFur said:
As you know I generally err on the side of caution when it comes to relaxation of restrictions but the UK statistics are starting to speak for themselves.

With that said, it's not clear to me why the UK alert level remains at 4 despite restrictions easing almost two weeks ago now.View attachment 17444
Click to expand...
Possibly related to the R number which is still a lot higher than August last year?
Screenshot_20210423-083620.jpg
 
BoroFur said:
As you know I generally err on the side of caution when it comes to relaxation of restrictions but the UK statistics are starting to speak for themselves.

With that said, it's not clear to me why the UK alert level remains at 4 despite restrictions easing almost two weeks ago now.View attachment 17444
Click to expand...
Are they still using that, as surely we're in the Level 3 the right, and 2 on the left? We're not in Level 4 for either side mind.

Either way, the left and right are misaligned now, the left is down one or the right is up one, albeit there's probably a good reason for that as the new variants transmit faster and some nations heavily linked to the UK are taking a right beating.

They probably don't want to change the chart again, as they realise every time they change something, some people get confused.
 
BoroFur said:
As you know I generally err on the side of caution when it comes to relaxation of restrictions but the UK statistics are starting to speak for themselves.

With that said, it's not clear to me why the UK alert level remains at 4 despite restrictions easing almost two weeks ago now.View attachment 17444
Click to expand...
Is that thing still in use?
 
The R rate gets updated some time on Friday doesn't it? So that's last week's value. I'm still a bit (only a bit) worried that new infections seem to have stopped falling, although they are not rising either. Is this last week's relaxations kicking in? They have been rising where I am but I suspect that's because my borough is being 'surge' tested.
 
bear66 said:
Possibly related to the R number which is still a lot higher than August last year?
Click to expand...
I don't think it is that, I just think they're catching more now, have a better understanding now, there's probably a much higher percentage of imported cases now, or there's more "noise" in the data now. As in the R of a resident might be 0.5, but gets masked by imported cases (effectively imported R).

But anyway, even if it was, there are some key things which make it incomparable really:
The seasonality of August is to later trend to the worst, whereas seasonality now is to trend to the best.
Vaccine/ immunity/ herd immunity gets closer every day
Testing, tracking and tracing is better
The R of people in the UK is probably low, but a lot of the cases will now be imported
There are big differences in where is good in the uk (almost everywhere) and where is as good as it will get (south/ south-west/ Scotland etc).

I don't think we're anywhere near comparable to August last year now (or any other time, other than a week or two ago), as all the variables have changed, the number of cases then to now mean completely different things, it's like an entirely new dataset.
 
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